Groundhog Day

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Groundhog Day Empty Groundhog Day

Post by Kaere on Mon Feb 02, 2015 10:56 am

Do you have a critter in your part of the world that predicts the length of your winter?

http://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/wiarton-willie-predicts-early-spring-shubenacadie-sam-disagrees-1.2216309

I think winter will be shorter this year for my part of the world... *fingers crossed*
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Post by Agartha on Mon Feb 02, 2015 12:45 pm

Does it work? I mean, is his forecast usually correct?
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Post by Kaere on Mon Feb 02, 2015 12:55 pm

Not usually lol...
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Post by Agartha on Mon Feb 02, 2015 3:42 pm

hahaha is anybody making money out of him?
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Post by Kaere on Mon Feb 02, 2015 3:59 pm

Nah, no money. It's a tradition that was brought over from Germany (I believe) way back when they started settling North America. I'll find a write up and post it, interesting story.
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Post by Agartha on Mon Feb 02, 2015 4:07 pm

Yes, please do Very Happy
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Post by Rockhopper on Tue Feb 03, 2015 1:33 am

You mean this Groundhog Day?

Groundhog Day B99437519z.1_20150202225950_000_goe9pm07.1-1

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Post by Lenzabi on Tue Feb 03, 2015 3:38 pm

They make a big deal of Puxatawney Phil in Pennsylvania when this day comes around

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Post by Quietstorm on Wed Feb 04, 2015 12:59 am

On Punxsutawney Phil's Wikipedia page:

According to the Stormfax.com site, as of 2015 Punxsutawney Phil has made 119 predictions, with an early spring (no shadow) predicted 17 times (14.3%). The site states (without evidence or corroborative references) that as of 2015 the predictions have proved correct 39% of the time. This is significantly worse than chance (p = 0.008), and - if the accuracy figure is correct - suggests the traditional interpretation of Punxsutawney Phil's predictions should be reversed.
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Post by Quietstorm on Thu Feb 05, 2015 5:08 am

Groundhogs only live about 6 years, so there have been several Punxsutawney Phils in our lifetimes.
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Post by Stargate on Thu Feb 05, 2015 6:13 am

@Quietstorm wrote:Groundhogs only live about 6 years, so there have been several Punxsutawney Phils in our lifetimes.

That does not leave a lot of time to gather experience, there must be a whole lot of guessing going on. Ground hog must be having fun with humans. Lol.

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Post by Rockhopper on Thu Feb 05, 2015 7:33 pm

Yep Star, those damned rodents are taking the mickey!

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Post by Lenzabi on Sun Feb 08, 2015 9:21 pm

Bet they are laughing it up down in their dens

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