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Covid-19 Vaccine updates

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Agartha
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Post by TrueCrazyLion Mon Oct 12, 2020 7:30 am

Found this article on the progress of a vaccine just now - although it’s from last month:

https://www.ft.com/content/e5012891-58da-4a4f-8a05-182adf3ba0e2

Realistically, if the info here is correct, we’re looking at a vaccine becoming available in mid-2021 at the earliest... That’s if everything goes smoothly with trials etc.
Jeez. :-/
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Post by Agartha Mon Oct 12, 2020 3:53 pm

Very interesting article! Well explained!

According to an article I read the other day (I can look for it tomorrow if you want, too tired now) the WHO is expecting a vaccine to be ready end of 2020 and the Oxford one seem to be number one in their list.
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Post by TrueCrazyLion Mon Oct 12, 2020 11:14 pm

That’s what the FT article seems to say too, that a vaccine might be ready by the end of this year, and then it’ll be rolled out to all the most vulnerable people first and additional info on it will be gathered, which is expected to take at least another 6 months, before it’s made available to the general population. 

Yeah, that article you’re speaking about sounds really interesting! Would be great to see it Smile
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Post by Agartha Tue Oct 13, 2020 5:51 am

I can't remember where I read it, but here is an article I found that says the same:

https://nairametrics.com/2020/10/07/covid-19-vaccine-likely-to-be-ready-by-december-who/
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Post by TrueCrazyLion Tue Oct 13, 2020 9:06 am

Wow... Nice!
That sounds very positive, they wouldn’t be saying it if they didn’t think they had a good reason to be optimistic.
It’s a great relief to see this, thanks for sharing!
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Post by Agartha Tue Oct 13, 2020 1:28 pm

Lion, even after a vaccine has been approved we still have to see how everything works out, how long immunity lasts, find out if the virus is not mutating or mutating too quickly, identifying side effects that scientist may not see because trials were too short, etc etc.... this means we still have (at least) another year of having to be careful and living differently. 

Now I'll add something negative, but that needs to be said: as we have seen in the news a lot of people are against a Covid vaccine. If 100% of the population is vaccinated and the vaccine is approx 70% effective, it means we'll still have 30% of the population not protected. But if only 50% of the population is vaccinated, the immunised group will be very small.... that's another factor we need to consider and we still don't know how it will work out.

Return to the 'old' normal?... very slim chance of that in 2021 I think.
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Post by TrueCrazyLion Tue Oct 13, 2020 6:19 pm

Yeah, well said - I’m expecting it to be a long time too before we start getting back to normal, as it’s such a massive undertaking to vaccinate(Or make enough doses of a working vaccine to vaccinate) a whole population.
Then there’s the part of society which, like you say, is against the vaccine and don’t believe the virus really exists etc(It’s beyond comprehension for me, but I know some people are strange to say the least! LOL), and they’ll most likely refuse to get vaccinated, which will allow the virus to continue spreading.

Yeah, the expectation is that immunity from a working vaccine won’t be permanent; we’ll need booster vaccinations as well. (The FT article was speculating that we’d need annual booster vaccinations, but personally I think we might need them more frequently than that.)
It’s been reported that COVID-19 is a slow-mutating virus, which is good news at least, and means it might be easier to get a handle on it faster in a scientific sense(Making a vaccine that works better for longer, etc).
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Post by Rogue Thu Oct 15, 2020 9:58 am

This looks a comprehensive article but i dont have time to read right now. Saving the link here for later.

https://theconversation.com/coronavirus-vaccine-what-we-know-so-far-a-comprehensive-guide-by-academic-experts-147881
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Post by TrueCrazyLion Thu Oct 15, 2020 10:50 am

Brilliant article, really well thought through, balanced and concise!
Great find!
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Post by Agartha Thu Oct 15, 2020 12:43 pm

Excellent article and I agree with all the points made. I find the antivaxx section really useful as it has information I have not read yet, like the history of people having problems with vaccination.
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Post by TrueCrazyLion Sun Oct 18, 2020 11:23 am

This article I saw today looks promising, and suggests to me that at least one vaccine might be close to being approved, as they’re now speaking in terms of a timeframe of basically 2 months:

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.com/news/amp/uk-scotland-54573288

I like the balanced nature of the comments Kate Bingham has made too, suggests she’s got her finger on the pulse of what’s really going on.
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Post by Agartha Thu Oct 22, 2020 4:25 am

hahaha sure, you speak to your friend's friend of a friend and I'll continue working with doctors and read peer reviewed analysis. I also have a cousin who owns a lab, so there you go, we both personally know people.
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Post by Agartha Thu Oct 22, 2020 4:48 am

You shouldn't edit your posts after someone has replied, that's sly and it says more about you than about those who reply in an honest way. 

Also, not true: thanks to scientists and their scientific methods we now know those products were harmful. Cigarettes were promoted by greedy imbeciles and backed by poor standard testing. 

Don't conflate science with marketing, two completely different things.
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Post by Agartha Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:59 am

Please post evidence to back your first paragraph, regarding the Who, Monsanto etc. To have a proper discussion you need to back your words with data, dates, names and links. I can provide links for every statement I make. 


Thank you.
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Post by TrueCrazyLion Sat Nov 07, 2020 1:49 am

Not sure how much to read into this just yet, but there seems to be some reason for believing that a vaccine might be available in Scotland before the end of next month:

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.glasgowlive.co.uk/news/glasgow-news/mass-coronavirus-vaccination-plan-scotland-19201353.amp

And that major progress is being made with plans to roll the vaccine out nationwide:

https://www.thenational.scot/news/18846529.plans-roll-covid-vaccine-across-scotland-well-advanced/ 

Hope these are both true!
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Post by Agartha Sat Nov 07, 2020 5:45 am

We were told this week that next month (or even end of November) we may be told we can start giving people the Covid19 vaccine. Apparently it will start with elderly in care homes and healthcare workers in both care homes and hospitals. But nothing is confirmed yet.

Two vaccines are ahead of the game in safety, both being at the end of phase 3 trials and having tested their vaccines in thousands of volunteers: Astrazeneca and Pfizer. It will be good to remind people that the vaccine is not 100% safe, just like any other vaccine, however, a severe reaction is only 1 in a million. 

The difference with this vaccine is that it has not been tested on millions of people for years, it's brand new and we still don't know if there are any long term effects. However, it has already been branded safe. And if we want to build immunity and go back to live a normal life, then we need people to be vaccinated. 

In the UK the vaccine will not be mandatory, just like any other vaccine.
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